2020 NBA Finals: Lakers vs. Heat odds, picks, Game 2 predictions from model on 61-33 roll

The Los Angeles Lakers and the Miami Heat take the floor for Game 2 of the 2020 NBA Finals on Friday evening. The Lakers won Game 1 by a 116-98 margin after falling behind by 13 points in the first quarter. Miami also could be missing a couple key pieces due to injury, with Goran Dragic (foot) and Bam Adebayo (neck) officially listed as doubtful to play in Game 2.

Tip-off is at 9 p.m. ET in Orlando. William Hill lists Los Angeles as the 9.5-point favorite, rising 2.5 points from the opener, while the over-under, or total number of points expected, is 216.5 in the latest Lakers vs. Heat odds. Before locking in any Heat vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the 2020 NBA Finals on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It’s also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Heat. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Heat vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Heat spread: Lakers -9.5
  • Lakers vs. Heat over-under: 216.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Heat money line: Lakers -500, Heat +400
  • LAL: The Lakers are 7-2-1 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • MIA: The Heat are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers have enjoyed tremendous success in the postseason, posting the best win-loss record and the best net rating in the NBA. Offensively, Los Angeles is elite, scoring 115.7 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs and leading all teams that advanced beyond the first round in offensive rating. The Lakers rank in the top five in the NBA in assist rate, offensive rebounding, shooting efficiency and free-throw rate, illustrating their across-the-board effectiveness.

Defensively, Los Angeles ranks No. 5 in the playoffs in points allowed per possession and, in Game 1, the Lakers held the Heat to just 1.01 points per possession. Los Angeles also leads the playoffs in blocked shots (5.9 per game) by a comfortable margin, while also generating a top-five mark with 8.4 steals per game.

Why the Heat can cover

Though the Heat may be missing key pieces in Game 2, Miami remains a strong two-way team. The Heat ranked No. 3 in the NBA in shooting efficiency during the regular season, and they excel at getting to the free-throw line. Miami ranked No. 1 during the regular season in free-throw rate, and remains in the top two in the playoffs. In addition, the Heat are above-average at protecting the ball, issuing a turnover on only 13.3 percent of possessions in the postseason. 

Defensively, the Heat are also pesky, tying for fourth among playoff teams in shooting efficiency allowed and producing deflections at a high rate, including 7.3 steals and 4.2 blocked shots per game. Miami is also adept at finishing possessions on the glass, grabbing 76.8 percent of available defensive rebounds dating back to the regular season.

How to make Lakers vs. Heat picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with Miami projected to miss the scoring punch of Dragic and Adebayo, and Kyle Kuzma projected to fall short of his season-long scoring average. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Heat vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Lakers vs. Heat spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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